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"Of course, while the risk of international terrorism has lowered, the U.S. remains in a heightened threat environment for domestic terrorism."

Indeed. While some predicted that this century would be defined by the "clash of civilizations," it will instead be defined by the "clash within civilizations." Political polarization makes it far more likely for countries like the US to erode from within.

Personally, I find this risk far more salient than great power struggles. The key challenge will not be preventing invasion, but rather implosion.

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Agreed. The longterm risk posed by internal dysfunction is considerable, and both are not mutually exclusive. In fact, political polarization and implosion may well accelerate, perhaps even worsen, great power struggles as countries cannot effectively prioritize and advocate for their national strategies.

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